UFC Fight Night 254: Fight Predictions and Breakdown

The UFC returns with a highly anticipated event, featuring crucial divisional matchups and rising prospects looking to make their mark. Here’s a breakdown of the top fights along with predictions and betting tips.

When is UFC Fight Night 254? UK – the preliminary card starts at 9:00pm on Saturday 15th March 2025, followed by the main card at 12:00am (Sunday) / USA – 4:00pm/7:00pm ET (Saturday) and 1:00pm/4:00pm PT (Saturday)

Where is UFC Fight Night 254? UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA

What TV channel is UFC Fight Night 254 on? UK – TNT Sports / USA – ESPN+

Where can I stream UFC Fight Night 254? UK – TNT Sports subscribers can stream the event online via the TNT Sports website and discovery+ / USA – ESPN+ & UFC Fight Pass

Yuneisy Duben vs. Carli Judice

Overview: Duben is a promising prospect with slick striking, while Judice is a well-rounded fighter with solid grappling. Judice’s ability to mix things up and control the pace could be key to overcoming Duben’s stand-up game.
Prediction: Carli Judice
Value Prediction: Judice by Decision

Josiane Nunes vs. Priscila Cachoeira

Overview: Nunes is a powerful puncher with aggressive striking, while Cachoeira is a brawler who relies on her toughness and relentless pressure. Nunes’ power could prove to be the difference in this matchup.
Prediction: Josiane Nunes
Value Prediction: Nunes by Decision

Daniel Barez vs. Andre Lima

Overview: Lima is an undefeated fighter with strong wrestling and physicality, which should allow him to overpower Barez in grappling exchanges. Lima’s control in the clinch and takedowns should be enough to seal a dominant victory.
Prediction: Andre Lima
Value Prediction: Lima by Decision

Stephanie Luciano vs. Sam Hughes

Overview: Luciano is a scrappy fighter with strong striking, while Hughes is a gritty competitor with solid grappling. Luciano’s striking and ability to control the pace could make the difference here, while Hughes may struggle to deal with the range.
Prediction: Stephanie Luciano
Value Prediction: Luciano by Decision

Carlos Vera vs. Josias Musasa

Overview: Vera is a tough and durable competitor with solid boxing, while Musasa is an explosive finisher with strong kicks. Musasa’s power and finishing ability could prove too much for Vera in the striking exchanges.
Prediction: Josias Musasa
Value Prediction: Musasa by KO/TKO

You Su-young vs. AJ Cunningham

Overview: Su-young is a crafty fighter with a well-rounded skill set, while Cunningham is a high-energy competitor with strong grappling. Su-young’s ability to adapt and mix up his game should give him the edge in this matchup.
Prediction: You Su-young
Value Prediction: Su-young by Decision

Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Ryan Spann

Overview: Cortes-Acosta is a heavy-handed striker with decent grappling, while Spann is a dynamic fighter with explosive power and submission skills. Spann continues to seem quite small for the division, and Cortes-Acosta’s size, strength, and striking should allow him to overpower Spann in this matchup.
Prediction: Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Value Prediction: Cortes-Acosta by Decision

Choi Seung-Woo vs. Kevin Vallejos

Overview: Choi is a sharp, technical striker with solid takedown defense, while Vallejos is an aggressive fighter who thrives on a relentless pace. Vallejos is an impressive prospect, with his only loss coming to Jean Silva, which is only aging well as Silva continues to prove himself at a high level. Vallejos’ pressure and tenacity should give him the edge in this matchup.
Prediction: Kevin Vallejos
Value Prediction: Vallejos by Decision

Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Brendson Ribeiro

Overview: Nurgozhay is a rising prospect with solid striking and wrestling, while Ribeiro is a powerful finisher with a dangerous submission game. Nurgozhay’s composure and well-rounded skills should give him the edge here.
Prediction: Diyar Nurgozhay
Value Prediction: Nurgozhay by Decision

Da’Mon Blackshear vs. Cody Gibson

Overview: Blackshear is a well-rounded fighter with strong grappling, while Gibson is a tough veteran with solid striking. If Blackshear can dictate the pace and control the grappling exchanges, he should secure the win.
Prediction: Da’Mon Blackshear
Value Prediction: Blackshear by Submission

Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaugh

Overview: Hernandez is an explosive athlete with strong striking and wrestling, while Holobaugh is a durable veteran with slick boxing. Hernandez’s speed and power should give him an advantage in this bout, as his athleticism will be a challenge for Holobaugh.
Prediction: Alexander Hernandez
Value Prediction: Hernandez by Decision

Chidi Njokuani vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Overview: Njokuani is a dynamic striker with knockout power, while Zaleski is a wild and unpredictable fighter with solid grappling. If Njokuani can maintain range, he should be able to land cleaner strikes.
Prediction: Chidi Njokuani
Value Prediction: Njokuani by KO/TKO

Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze

Overview: Vettori is a relentless pressure fighter with strong wrestling and durability, while Dolidze is a dangerous submission artist with knockout power. Vettori’s cardio and volume striking could be the difference here, allowing him to outlast Dolidze.
Prediction: Marvin Vettori
Value Prediction: Vettori by Decision

This card is stacked with high-stakes fights and stylistic matchups that promise excitement. With key divisional rankings on the line, UFC Fight Night 254 is shaping up to be an unforgettable event. Stay tuned for the action!