UFC 317 is set to deliver a high-stakes showdown on Saturday, June 28, 2025, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. In the main event, Ilia Topuria faces off against former lightweight champion Charles Oliveira for the vacant lightweight title. With Topuria remaining undefeated and heavily favoured by the betting odds, and Oliveira bringing world-class submission skills, this matchup promises fireworks and could reshape the UFC lightweight division.
UFC 317: Lightweight Title Fight Breakdown
As part of International Fight Week, UFC 317 has captured the attention of fans and analysts worldwide. The headline bout between Ilia Topuria and Charles Oliveira is more than just a title fight—it’s a classic clash of styles.
Topuria is known for his explosive striking, knockout power, and undefeated record, which has made him the favourite heading into this fight. On the other hand, Oliveira, the former champion, brings unmatched grappling and submission expertise, making him a dangerous underdog capable of turning the tide if the fight hits the ground.
UFC 317 Betting Odds and Favouritess
When the UFC 317 odds opened, Ilia Topuria quickly emerged as the clear favourite. Most sportsbooks listed him between -450 and -475, showing strong public confidence in his ability to finish the fight early.
Charles Oliveira, meanwhile, is being offered at +350 to +380, making him one of the most tempting underdogs on the card. Despite being a former champion with elite-level submission skills, the odds suggest bettors see Topuria as the more likely winner.
Over/Under Betting Predictions
Oddsmakers have set the over/under for the fight at 1.5 rounds. The line sits around -145 for the over and +115 for the under, indicating that many expect this fight to end quickly, but not all agree.
Some bettors believe Oliveira’s durability and ability to survive danger, especially on the ground, could push the fight into the later rounds. Still, the consensus points to an early finish, whether through Topuria’s knockout power or Oliveira catching a quick submission.
Method of Victory: KO or Submission?
In terms of method-of-victory predictions, the betting public favours Topuria by KO or TKO. His ability to overwhelm opponents with pressure and power makes this the most likely outcome.
For Oliveira, the most probable path to victory remains his submission game. With more submission wins than any other fighter in UFC history, he’s always just one mistake away from finishing the fight on the mat.
However, submission odds don’t reflect the same level of confidence as Topuria’s knockout potential, reinforcing the perception that Topuria is likely to control the fight and dictate its outcome.
Final Prediction: Can the Underdog Shock the World?
As fight night draws closer, the pressure is on both fighters. Will Ilia Topuria continue his dominant streak and claim the lightweight belt, or can Charles Oliveira defy the odds and recapture UFC gold?
This main event is a true test of momentum versus experience, power versus technique. No matter the outcome, fans can expect a thrilling contest that could redefine the top of the 155-pound division.
Key UFC 317 Details
- Event: UFC 317 – Topuria vs Oliveira
- Date: Saturday, June 28, 2025
- Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
- Title on the Line: Vacant UFC Lightweight Championship
- Topuria’s Odds: -450 to -475
- Oliveira’s Odds: +350 to +380
- Over/Under: 1.5 Rounds
- Likely Outcomes: Topuria by KO/TKO, Oliveira by Submission
UFC 317 Frequently Asked Questions
When is UFC 317?
UFC 317 takes place on Saturday, June 28, 2025, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.
Who’s fighting in the main event?
The main event features Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira for the UFC lightweight title.
What are the current odds?
Topuria is the betting favourite at -450 to -475. Oliveira is the underdog at +350 to +380.
What’s the over/under round total?
The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds, with -145 on the over and +115 on the under.
What’s the most likely method of victory?
Topuria by knockout/TKO is favoured. Oliveira’s path lies in using his elite-level submission skills.
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