Kamaru Usman finds himself in the unlikely position of potentially securing a welterweight title shot despite winning just once in his last four UFC appearances. The former champion’s path back to championship contention opened up following Islam Makhachev’s dominant victory over Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322, with the new champion specifically naming Usman as his preferred first title defence.
Usman’s Unexpected Title Shot Pathway
In most circumstances, a fighter with Usman’s recent record—1-3 in his last four fights—wouldn’t be considered for an immediate title opportunity. However, the unique circumstances following UFC 322 have created an opening for the Nigerian Nightmare. While rising contenders Carlos Prates and Michael Morales scored impressive victories against Leon Edwards and Sean Brady, respectively, neither has the name recognition or championship experience that Usman brings to the table.
Usman’s situation highlights how timing and relationships can sometimes outweigh recent results in UFC title pictures. His shared management with Makhachev under Ali Abdelaziz’s Dominance MMA creates natural synergy for negotiations, while his status as one of the greatest welterweights in promotion history provides the storyline fans can embrace.
Makhachev’s Champion’s Choice
Fresh off his UFC 322 victory, Makhachev didn’t hesitate when asked about potential opponents for his first welterweight title defence. “Usman makes sense,” the new champion stated, pointing to the former titleholder’s credentials and fighting style as the perfect test for his welterweight debut. This endorsement carries significant weight, as champions often receive considerable input on their first title defences.
Makhachev’s preference for Usman over hotter contenders like Prates or Morales speaks to the champion’s confidence in his abilities. Rather than seeking what some might consider an easier matchup against less experienced competition, Makhachev appears to want the credibility that comes with defeating a former champion, even one who may be past his prime.
The Rising Contenders Left Waiting
While Usman potentially jumps the queue, both Carlos Prates and Michael Morales delivered statement performances at UFC 322 that would typically earn title consideration. Prates’s knockout of Leon Edwards and Morales’s stoppage of Sean Brady demonstrated that the welterweight division boasts exciting new talent ready for championship opportunities.
However, the business realities of MMA often favour established names over rising contenders, particularly for major pay-per-view events. As one UFC official noted anonymously, “Usman-Makhachev tells a better story right now than either of the newcomers against Makhachev.” This leaves Prates and Morales likely needing at least one more significant victory before entering the title conversation.
Usman’s Last Chance at Redemption
At 38 years old, Kamaru Usman understands this likely represents his final opportunity to reclaim UFC gold. His recent losses—two to Leon Edwards and one to Khamzat Chimaev—came against elite competition, but they also revealed signs of decline in the once-dominant champion.
Still, Usman’s championship experience and well-rounded skill set make him a legitimate threat to any welterweight. His wrestling pedigree could test Makhachev’s defensive grappling, while his improved striking provides multiple paths to victory. As Usman himself noted in post-fight interviews, “I’ve been in there with the best, and I know what it takes to win at this level.”
Conclusion: Business Over Sport
The potential Usman-Makhachev matchup represents another example of the UFC prioritising business considerations over strict sporting merit. While Carlos Prates and Michael Morales may have stronger recent resumes, neither brings the name recognition or storyline that Usman provides for Makhachev’s first welterweight title defence.
For Usman, this unexpected opportunity represents perhaps his final chance to add another chapter to his Hall of Fame career. For the welterweight division, it creates an interesting dynamic where established names can still leapfrog rising contenders based on reputation and marketability rather than current form.
Kamaru Usman Title Shot: FAQ
Why does Usman deserve a title shot with a 1-3 record?
While his recent record is underwhelming, Usman’s championship experience, name recognition, and Makhachev’s specific interest in fighting him have positioned him for this opportunity.
How do Prates and Morales feel about being passed over?
Neither fighter has commented publicly, but typically, contenders in their position must continue winning and wait for their opportunity, regardless of how frustrating the wait may be.
When would Usman vs Makhachev likely occur?
Given both fighters’ recent activity, late 2025 or early 2026 seems plausible, allowing sufficient time for promotion and training camps.
Has Usman commented on this potential matchup?
Usman has expressed interest in the fight, noting that facing Makhachev would be a “legacy fight” for both competitors.
What does this mean for the welterweight division?
It potentially creates a logjam at the top, with several deserving contenders needing to stay active while waiting for their title opportunities.
