UFC 313: Fight Prediction, Breakdown, and Betting Tips
The UFC returns with a highly anticipated event, featuring crucial divisional matchups and rising prospects eager to make their mark. Here’s a breakdown of the top fights along with predictions and betting tips.
When is UFC 313? UK – the extra preliminary card starts at 12:00am on Sunday 9th March 2025, followed by the preliminary card at 1:00am and the main card at 3:00am / USA – 7:00pm/8:00pm/10:00pm ET (Saturday) and 4:00pm/5:00pm/7:00pm PT (Saturday)
Where is UFC 313? T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, USA
What TV channel is UFC 313 on? UK – TNT Sports / USA – ESPN+
Where can I stream UFC 313? UK – TNT Sports subscribers can stream the event online via the TNT Sports website and discovery+ / USA – ESPN+ & UFC Fight Pass
Chris Gutierrez vs. John Castaneda
Overview: Gutierrez is a sharp kickboxer known for his excellent movement and leg kicks, while Castaneda is a well-rounded fighter with solid durability and pressure. Gutierrez’s ability to control range and land effective strikes gives him the edge in this matchup.
Prediction: Chris Gutierrez
Value Prediction: Gutierrez by Decision
Ozzy Diaz vs. Djorgan Santos
Overview: Diaz is a dangerous power puncher with knockout potential, but his durability has come into question following a recent TKO loss. Santos, a well-rounded fighter with strong grappling, will look to capitalize on Diaz’s vulnerability with pressure and control.
Prediction: Djorgan Santos
Value Prediction: Santos by Decision
Mairon Santos vs. Francis Marshall
Overview: Santos is an explosive striker with knockout power, while Marshall excels in grappling and has strong cardio. If Marshall can close the distance and get the fight to the mat, he holds the advantage. However, Santos’ striking is a serious threat on the feet.
Prediction: Mairon Santos
Value Prediction: Santos by KO/TKO
Alex Morono vs. Carlos Leal
Overview: Morono is a seasoned veteran with solid striking and high fight IQ, while Leal is fast, explosive, and known for his finishing ability. Morono’s experience could be key in weathering Leal’s aggression and controlling the pace.
Prediction: Alex Morono
Value Prediction: Morono by Decision
Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen Petrosyan
Overview: Ferreira is a powerful striker who thrives in brawls, while Petrosyan is a technical kickboxer with superior range control. If Petrosyan can maintain distance, he should outpoint Ferreira. However, Ferreira’s power could end the fight quickly if he closes the gap.
Prediction: Armen Petrosyan
Value Prediction: Ferreira by KO/TKO
Rei Tsuruya vs. Joshua Van
Overview: Tsuruya is an aggressive wrestler with strong positional control, while Van is a dangerous counter-striker with knockout power. Van’s higher level of experience in the UFC could be the deciding factor in this matchup.
Prediction: Joshua Van
Value Prediction: Van by Decision
Curtis Blaydes vs. Rizvan Kuniev
Overview: Blaydes is an elite wrestler with heavy top control, while Kuniev is also a solid grappler but lacks Blaydes’ experience. If Blaydes can land his takedowns, he should dominate the fight.
Prediction: Curtis Blaydes
Value Prediction: Blaydes by Decision
Bobby Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy
Overview: Green is a slick boxer with elite head movement and defensive skills, while Ruffy is an aggressive finisher with knockout power. Ruffy’s size, momentum, and overall skill set make him a dangerous opponent for Green.
Prediction: Mauricio Ruffy
Value Prediction: Ruffy by KO/TKO
Amanda Lemos vs. Iasmin Lucindo
Overview: Lemos is a powerful striker with solid grappling, while Lucindo is a relentless pressure fighter. Lemos’ experience and knockout power give her the edge in this matchup.
Prediction: Amanda Lemos
Value Prediction: Lemos by Decision
Jalin Turner vs. Ignacio Bahamondes
Overview: Turner is a long, rangy striker with submission skills, while Bahamondes is also a high-volume kickboxer with impressive striking and similar reach. Bahamondes is known for his ability to combat opponents’ range and has excellent conditioning. Turner’s power is undeniable, but Bahamondes’ striking and ability to control distance make him a tough challenge for Turner.
Prediction: Ignacio Bahamondes
Value Prediction: Turner by KO/TKO
Co-Main Event: Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev
Overview: Gaethje is a relentless brawler with knockout power and brutal leg kicks, while Fiziev is a technical Muay Thai specialist with speed and precision. Despite Fiziev being the favorite and potentially the better striker, the short-notice nature of the matchup favors Gaethje. Additionally, Fiziev has been out of the cage for quite some time, which could affect his timing and conditioning. Gaethje’s pressure and experience should be key in this bout, and his knockout power makes him a dangerous threat.
Prediction: Justin Gaethje
Value Prediction: Gaethje by KO/TKO
Main Event: Alex Pereira vs. Magomed Ankalaev
Overview: Pereira is a devastating striker with elite kickboxing credentials, while Ankalaev is a patient counter-striker with excellent wrestling. If Pereira can keep the fight standing, his power will be a serious threat, and from the Ankalaev vs. Blachowicz fight, it is clear that a key element will be the calf kick — something that Pereira executes better than anyone in the division. Ankalaev’s grappling could change the dynamic of the fight, but Pereira’s striking range and calf kick could be the game changer.
Prediction: Alex Pereira
Value Prediction: Pereira by KO/TKO
This card is stacked with high-stakes fights and stylistic matchups that promise excitement. With key divisional rankings on the line, UFC 313 is shaping up to be an unforgettable event. Stay tuned for the action!
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